Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 0.000565 0.000651 0.000743 0.000849 0.000965 0.001090 0.001233
2025-06-08 0.000413 0.000528 0.000660 0.000821 0.001010 0.001226 0.001487
2025-06-15 0.000343 0.000470 0.000623 0.000819 0.001059 0.001340 0.001693
2025-06-22 0.000290 0.000424 0.000593 0.000817 0.001102 0.001446 0.001890
2025-06-29 0.000246 0.000382 0.000561 0.000806 0.001128 0.001528 0.002055
2025-07-06 0.000209 0.000344 0.000528 0.000790 0.001144 0.001594 0.002199
2025-07-13 0.000189 0.000327 0.000523 0.000809 0.001204 0.001715 0.002414
2025-07-20 0.000171 0.000310 0.000515 0.000821 0.001253 0.001824 0.002616
2025-07-27 0.000149 0.000286 0.000493 0.000812 0.001273 0.001891 0.002763
2025-08-03 0.000129 0.000261 0.000468 0.000797 0.001281 0.001943 0.002889
2025-08-10 0.000117 0.000249 0.000461 0.000806 0.001323 0.002042 0.003081
2025-08-17 0.000105 0.000234 0.000450 0.000808 0.001354 0.002124 0.003250
2025-08-24 0.000089 0.000211 0.000422 0.000781 0.001343 0.002148 0.003342
2025-08-31 0.000075 0.000189 0.000395 0.000757 0.001333 0.002171 0.003433
2025-09-07 0.000067 0.000177 0.000384 0.000754 0.001356 0.002243 0.003592
2025-09-14 0.000059 0.000167 0.000373 0.000753 0.001379 0.002316 0.003754
2025-09-21 0.000052 0.000154 0.000359 0.000743 0.001389 0.002367 0.003886
2025-09-28 0.000044 0.000141 0.000342 0.000728 0.001389 0.002404 0.003997
2025-10-05 0.000041 0.000138 0.000343 0.000745 0.001442 0.002523 0.004230
2025-10-12 0.000038 0.000134 0.000342 0.000757 0.001486 0.002627 0.004443
2025-10-19 0.000033 0.000124 0.000329 0.000748 0.001496 0.002678 0.004578
2025-10-26 0.000029 0.000114 0.000315 0.000734 0.001494 0.002712 0.004687
2025-11-02 0.000026 0.000110 0.000312 0.000743 0.001533 0.002809 0.004893